Will Get Out Scare LEGO Batman Away from the Box Office?

Warner Bros.' animated spin-offThe LEGO Batman Moviehas had no trouble taking down a other high-profile competitors in its first two weeks in theaters, beatingFifty Shades DarkerandJohn Wick Chapter 2in itsopening weekend, while handily defeatingThe Great Wall,Fist FightandA Cure For Wellnesslast weekend. This Friday, it may face its greatest challenge yet, with the critically-acclaimed thrillerGet Outdebuting alongside the action filmCollideand the animated family comedyRock Dog. We’re predicting thatGet Outwill just barely win overThe LEGO Batman Movie, with the thriller opening to the tune of $23.4 million, asThe LEGO Batman Moviedrops to second place with $19.8 million.

None of this weekend’s new releases will have anywhere near the type of wide release ofThe LEGO Batman Movie, which is currently playing in 4,088 theaters.Box Office Mojoreports thatGet Outwill open in an estimated 2,700 theaters, whileRock Dogopens in roughly 2,050 theaters andCollidedebuts in around 2,000 theaters. Our prediction of $19.8 million forThe LEGO Batman Movieis based on what we’re guessing is a 40% drop from this past weekend’s three-day tally, which is still a minimal drop for a third weekend, but it likely still won’t be enough to stopGet Out.

While its theater count is a bit low, andGet Outdoesn’t boast any A-list stars, this thriller has currently achieved the rare feat of a perfect 100% score on Rotten Tomatoes, out of the 25 reviews posted thus far. The film had its world premiere at the Sundance Film Festival last month, which also marks the directorial debut ofKey & PeelestarJordan Peele, who also wrote the script. Blumhouse’sJason Blumalso produces what could be the most talked about horror hit of the year.

In Universal Pictures’Get Out, a speculative thriller from Blumhouse (producers of The Visit and Insidious series, The Gift) and the mind ofJordan Peele, when a young African-American man visits his white girlfriend’s family estate, he becomes ensnared in a more sinister real reason for the invitation. Now that Chris Washington (Daniel Kaluuya) and his girlfriend, Rose Armitage (Allison Williams), have reached the meet-the-parents milestone of dating, she invites him for a weekend getaway upstate with Missy (Catherine Keener) and Dean (Bradley Whitford). At first, Chris reads the family’s overly accommodating behavior as nervous attempts to deal with their daughter’s interracial relationship, but as the weekend progresses, a series of increasingly disturbing discoveries leads him to a truth that he could have never imagined.

The action-thrillerCollidefollows Casey (Nicholas Hoult), who, in order to pay for his girlfriend’s (Felicity Jones) medical emergency while abroad, schemes to pull a drug heist for an eccentric gangster (Ben Kingsley). After a failed attempt, he embarks across Europe on an action-packed chase in a race against time to save his girlfriend’s life from being taken by an evil drug lord (Anthony Hopkins).Eran Creevey(Welcome to the Punch) directs this thriller from a script he co-wrote withF. Scott Frazier(XXX: The Return of Xander Cage).

Rock Dogfollows the Tibetan Mastiffs living on Snow Mountain, where a dog’s life has a simple riff: Guard a peaceful village of wool-making sheep from the thuggish wolf Linnux (Lewis Black) and his rabid pack. To avoid distractions, Mastiff leader Khampa (J.K. Simmons) forbids all music from the mountain. But when Khampa’s son Bodi (Luke Wilson) discovers a radio dropped by a passing airplane, it takes just a few guitar licks for his fate to be sealed: Bodi wants to be a rock ‘n’ roll star. Yet that means defying his father’s wishes, heading to the city, and locating the legendary and reclusive musician Angus Scattergood (Eddie Izzard), who needs to write a new song and fast. If Bodi can put a band together, help Angus with his song, and defeat the wolves' plot to take Snow Mountain, his life will be in tune. Bodi will become what he’s always dreamed of being: More than a dog, more than a Rock Godm he’ll be aRock Dog!

AfterGet OutandThe LEGO Batman Movie, we’re predicting the top 10 will be rounded out byFifty Shades Darker($10.4 million),The Great Wall($9.2 million),John Wick: Chapter 2($9 million),Collide($8.7 million),Fist Fight($7.1 million),Rock Dog($6.4 million),Hidden Figures($4.2 million) andSplit($3.1 million). Also opening in limited release is Roadside Attractions’Bitter Harvest, CJ Entertainment’s action filmFabricated City, GKIDS’My Life As a Zucchini, Film Movement’s dramaPelle the Conqueror, Well Go USA’s comedyPunching Henryand Real Women’s dramatic comedyYear By the Sea.My Life As a Zucchiniwill open in just two theaters this weekend, but no theater counts were issued for the release of these limited release titles.

Looking ahead to next weekend, 20th Century Fox kicks off the month of March with their highly-anticipated superhero thrillerLogan, which squares off against Open Road Films’Before I Falland Lionsgate’sThe Shackin wide release. Also opening in limited release is The Orchard’s comedyDonald Cried, Argot Pictures' documentaryThe Freedom to Marry, Vertical Entertainment’sHeadshot, Bleecker Street’sThe Last Word, Magnolia’sMy Scientology Movie, Fox Searchlight’sTable 19and IFC’sWolves. Check back on Sunday for the box office estimates, and again on Tuesday for next week’s wave of predictions. Until then, check out our box office projections for the weekend of February 24.